Chan, C.-H., Sørensen, M. B., Stromeyer, D., Grünthal, G., Heidbach, O., Hakimhashemi, A. and Catalli, F. (2010) “Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast”, Annals of Geophysics, 53(3), pp. 129–140. doi: 10.4401/ag-4761.