On dynamics of seismicity simulated by the models of blocks-and-faults systems

A. I. Gorshkov, V. I. Keilis-Borok, I. M. Rotwain, A. A. Soloviev, I. A. Vorobieva


The major results obtained by numerical simulation of block structure dynamics are juxtaposed and analysed: the possibilities to reconstruct tectonic driving forces from territorial distribution of seismicity, clustering of earthquakes in the model, and dependence of the occurrence of strong earthquakes on fragmentation of the media, and on rotation of blocks. These results show that modelling of block structure dynamics is a useful tool to study relations between the geometry of faults and block movements and earthquake flow, including premonitory seismicity patterns, to test the existing earthquake prediction algorithms, and to develop new ones.


block structure dynamics;Gutenberg-Richter law;earthquake prediction

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-3865
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Published by INGV, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - ISSN: 2037-416X