Stromboli 3 July 2019 Fire: what could have happened?
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Abstract
On 3 July 2019, paroxysmal activity at the Stromboli volcano ignited a fire in the south-western sector of the island. This fire burnt the entire southern and eastern area. Thanks to the intervention of the firefighters, the fire did not spread northward, thus avoiding further damage. What could have happened if there had been no intervention? Would the fire have stopped its spread on its own, or
would it have burnt the entire island? We show through numerical simulations what could have happened if the fire had not been put out by firefighters and how numerical modelling can help plan preventive actions to avoid worst-case scenarios.
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