How the ETAS models were created, used, and evolved – Personal views and perspectives

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Published: 2024-10-31
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-9153

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Yoshiko Ogata
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-Cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan 190-8562

Abstract

Statistical seismology originated in Japan 130 years ago. Through the marriage with stochastic point processes in about half a century, we can now provide on-line estimation, real-time forecasting and direct diagnosis of seismic activity. This manuscript describes the origin and recent development of the ETAS models, their relationship to forecasting problems, and their diagnostic studies of the physical phenomena of seismic activity. I will take this opportunity to focus on my research experiences and views.


 

Article Details

Issue

Vol. 67 No. 4 (2024): Embracing the past, empowering the present, envisioning the future, 25th INGV Anniversary

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Embracing the past,empowering the present,envisioning the future,25th INGV anniv
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How to Cite

(1)
Ogata, Y. How the ETAS Models Were Created, Used, and Evolved – Personal Views and Perspectives. Ann. Geophys. 2024, 67 (4), S428. https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-9153.