Development of algorithms and software for forecasting, nowcasting and variability of TEC
Main Article Content
Abstract
Total Electron Content (TEC) is an important characteristic of the ionosphere relevant to communications. Unpredictable variability of the ionospheric parameters due to various disturbances limits the efficiencies of communications, radar and navigation systems. Therefore forecasting and nowcasting of TEC are important in the planning and operation of Earth-space and satellite-to-satellite communication systems. Near-Earth space processes are complex being highly nonlinear and time
varying with random variations in parameters where mathematical modeling is extremely difficult if not impossible. Therefore data driven models such as Neural Network (NN) based models are considered
and found promising in modeling such processes. In this paper the NN based METU-NN model is introduced to forecast TEC values for the intervals ranging from 1 to 24 h in advance. Forecast and nowcast of TEC values are also considered based on TEC database. Day-to-day and hour to-hour variability of TEC are also estimated using statistical methods. Another statistical approach based on the clustering technique is developed and a preprocessing approach is demonstrated for the forecast of ionospheric critical frequency foF2.
varying with random variations in parameters where mathematical modeling is extremely difficult if not impossible. Therefore data driven models such as Neural Network (NN) based models are considered
and found promising in modeling such processes. In this paper the NN based METU-NN model is introduced to forecast TEC values for the intervals ranging from 1 to 24 h in advance. Forecast and nowcast of TEC values are also considered based on TEC database. Day-to-day and hour to-hour variability of TEC are also estimated using statistical methods. Another statistical approach based on the clustering technique is developed and a preprocessing approach is demonstrated for the forecast of ionospheric critical frequency foF2.
Article Details
How to Cite
1.
Tulunay E, Senalp ET, Cander LR, Tulunay YK, Bilge AH, Mizrahi E, Kouris SS, Jakowski N. Development of algorithms and software for forecasting, nowcasting and variability of TEC. Ann. Geophys. [Internet]. 2004Dec.25 [cited 2021Oct.26];47(2-3 Sup.). Available from: https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/3294
Section
OLD
Open-Access License
No Permission Required
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia applies the Creative Commons Attribution License (CCAL) to all works we publish.
Under the CCAL, authors retain ownership of the copyright for their article, but authors allow anyone to download, reuse, reprint, modify, distribute, so long as the original authors and source are cited. No permission is required from the authors or the publishers.
In most cases, appropriate attribution can be provided by simply citing the original article.
If the item you plan to reuse is not part of a published article (e.g., a featured issue image), then please indicate the originator of the work, and the volume, issue, and date of the journal in which the item appeared. For any reuse or redistribution of a work, you must also make clear the license terms under which the work was published.
This broad license was developed to facilitate open access to, and free use of, original works of all types. Applying this standard license to your own work will ensure your right to make your work freely and openly available. For queries about the license, please contact ann.geophys@ingv.it.